By Garrett Hinners
BANKER (New England Revolution vs. Atlanta Utd)
We had to wait to get through the US Open Cup to get a better idea of this weekend, injuries, rotation, and more. There were some absolutely fantastic games midweek and that has opened up some real value for this MLS slate.
Atlanta injuries are mounting up at an unbelievable rate. It looks like they have lost their wingback, Gutman, to a collarbone injury in their cup match vs Nashville, so their infirmary is jam packed. Even with an extra day of rest, with this match not taking place until Sunday, this is a team that is absolutely worth fading.
New England has turned its season around some with only one loss in their last five games. That one loss was away, where New England has had a difficult time so far, but this is a nice spot for them to grab some much needed road points. We know what this New England team can be as the Supporter Shield winners of last season have plenty of offensive weaponry.
With Atlanta’s best defender, Robinson, done for the season with a torn achilles and Gutman looking like he is going to miss time, it could patchwork at the back for Atlanta United. The price here gives us some protection as double chance is playable and that is just too good of a look given the current state of Atlanta.
For the parlay this week I am attacking spots where goals could be scarce. Houston and Nashville both played competitive Cup matches on Wednesday. Only one home game for Houston has gone over three goals. Nashville has played the most road games in the league so far and only one game has gone over three goals as well. With potentially heavy legs and the push protection of a solid three this is a very attractive leg one.
Leg two is another under this time in Philadelphia. Philly and the New York Red Bulls play very similar styles. They concede possession, play solid defense, and punish teams on the counter. These two may actually cancel each other out in what I expect to be a very low scoring affair (five of their last six head to head have seen two or less goals). We get the same push protection here with a solid three.