NCAA Basketball Betting Picks: Banker and Parlay – March 3, 2022

By @Joes_Picks

BANKER (Southern Utah vs. Idaho State)

The Big Sky conference is another smaller college basketball conference like the southland, that I like to target a lot. Tonight, we go out to Idaho as Southern Utah travels to Idaho St, who is one of the worst teams in the Big Sky. In the first matchup between these 2 teams earlier in the season, Idaho St was very competitive in the first half and covered the 1H spread before eventually losing by double digits (12). They covered the 1H and full game spreads on the road in a tough environment but I think this is a perfect spot for Southern Utah to get off to a fast start here. For some reason, Southern Utah has been much better on the road in conference than at home, especially as a road favorite. Similar comparisons to this type of game include when SUU went on the road to Northern Arizona as 7/7.5-point favorites. In their first matchup with NAU, they started slow, finished strong, and then steam rolled them in the 1H of their second matchup on the road.

Southern Utah led 31-14 at the half of that game as -3 favorites on the 1H spread. This game against Idaho St is almost the exact same spot and I think SUU has too much firepower for Idaho St to keep up. SUU is currently ranked 85th in offensive effective field goal percentage, 62nd in offensive 2-point percentage, and 87th in lowest turnover rate so they have a fairly efficient offense. Idaho St has been dreadful on defense this season as they are currently ranked 324th in adjusted defensive efficiency, 308th in defensive effective field goal percentage, and 330th in defensive 2-point percentage. Southern Utah should be able to get whatever they want offensively, and I think they get off to solid start here, so I am rolling with Southern Utah 1H -3.5 at -114. Score Prediction: 42-33 1H Southern Utah

Banker: Southern Utah 1st Half -3.5 at -114 (1.88) at BetUS

2-Team Parlay

SMU is a very solid team out of the American Athletic conference who often gets overshadowed due to the excellence and notoriety that Houston gets. SMU is currently 2nd in the AAC with an 11-4 conference record and are 20-7 overall on the season. Even more impressively, SMU comes into this game with 14-0 record on their home court, including wins over Houston, Memphis, UCF, Dayton, UNLV, and Sam Houston St. They are a solid team, but they take it to another level when on their home court. Even more interesting to me is the line for this game. In the first matchup between these 2 teams, Cincy was a 3–4-point home favorite, and smacked them by 17 points. Now SMU is favored by nearly 7 points after getting blown out in the first meeting. This seems like a slam spot for SMU and while I will probably be on their spread later tonight, I think SMU ML is a great parlay piece for tonight. Score Prediction: 75-63 SMU

Sam Houston St is a team that I have not bet on much this season, but I think this is a great spot for them at home against a Tarleton St team who struggled at time on offense. SHSU comes into this game with a 10-2 record at home and is in a revenge spot tonight as they lost their first meeting with Tarleton St back in early January. Tarleton St has won 3 games in a row and are 6-2 in their last 8 games but let’s look at who they played in that stretch. Those 6 wins came against Lamar (0 D1 wins), UTRGV (8-21), and Chicago St (proverbial bottom feeder). In their last 6 games against anyone besides those 3 teams, they are 0-6 straight up and lost 5/6 of those games by more 8 points. I will likely be on Sam Houston St 1H spread tonight but like SMU, I think Sam Houston St is a great parlay piece for tonight as I think they get the job done at home. Score Prediction: 77-63 Sam Houston St. 

Parlay: SMU (Southern Methodist) ML/Sam Houston St ML at -114 (1.88) at BetUS

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