BANKER (Nicholls St. vs. Texas A&M-CC)
The Southland conference has been one of my favorite conferences to bet for years. The teams in this conference usually play at an incredibly fast pace and which is good for overs but tonight I am rolling with the top team in the conference to start fast tonight. Nicholls has been a very consistent team all year, especially in conference play, largely due to their potent offense. Nicholls St is currently ranked 83rd in offensive effective field goal percentage, 34th in offensive 2-point percentage, and 87th in offensive rebounding percentage so they do a really good job of scoring at the rim and also getting second chance opportunities through offensive rebounds. Texas A&M-CC is a team that I have bet on a lot this year, but I just think Nicholls St has too much offensive firepower.
Texas AM-CC is currently ranked just 301st in adjusted offensive efficiency, 329th in offensive effective field goal percentage, 308th in 2-point percentage, and 312th in 3-point percentage. These numbers have actually decreased since they started southland play which is even more alarming considering teams in the southland aren’t nearly as good as the teams, they played during their non-conference schedule. Nicholls St will also have the best player on the court in Ty Gordon who is averaging 21/4/3 on 47% shooting and 37% from deep. Gordon should be able to get to the rim whenever he wants and I expect him to have a big game tonight. Nicholls St will also have a huge height advantage at nearly position tonight and I think that may make it harder for Texas A&M-CC to score if they aren’t knocking down outside shots. Texas AMCC had a nice overtime comeback win in their last meeting and I think they will be able to use that momentum and turn it into a strong start here tonight. Score Prediction: 41-33 1H Nicholls St.
Western Kentucky is a team who I haven’t bet on much this season, but this line is simply too low against a really bad Marshall team. Marshall has some good pieces and some solid playmakers on offense but as a group, they have really struggled in all facets of the game this season. Marshall comes into this game with an 11-18 record and are just 4-12 in conference play. They have really struggled against the top teams in the conference as well as they are a combined 0-8 against FAU, MTSU, Charlotte, North Texas, and Louisiana Tech. Western Kentucky is in the echelon with those teams, and I think Marshall will struggle to contain them on the defensive end. Marshall is ranked 266th in adjusted defensive efficiency, 264th in defensive effective field goal percentage, and 268th in defensive 3-point percentage. Western Kentucky has been a solid offensive team this season as they are ranked in the top 100 in most major offensive categories and think they have too much firepower for Marshall to keep up. Score Prediction: 83-74 WKU
Wyoming is a team who has been a thorn in my side for most of the season, but I think this is the perfect spot to back them. I believe Wyoming should be favorites here and I am a bit surprised by this line. UNLV is a solid team with one of the best players in the conference in Bryce Hamilton, but other than him Wyoming is better and more talented at nearly every position. Hamilton is also a volume shooter and can be inefficient at times, which causes problems for their offense. Analytics wise, Wyoming is also much better on both offense and defense so that is another reason why this line is a bit of a head scratcher, but I am not questioning it here tonight. I think Wyoming is the better team and they should be highly motivated after a close loss to SDSU in their last outing. Score Prediction: 74-67 Wyoming.