BANKER (Charleston vs. Northeastern)
The colonial conference has been one of my favorite conferences to bet this year and I found another angle I really like tonight with Charleston. In this game, College of Charleston faces off against one of the bigger disappointments in the league this season in Northeastern. Northeastern comes into this game with a 1-14 conference record and an overall record of 7-19. Northeastern has really struggled on the defensive side of the ball this year as they are currently ranked 240th in overall adjusted defensive efficiency, 306th in defensive effective field goal percentage, 276th in defensive 3-point percentage, and 298th in defensive 2-point percentage so they have been a really bad defensive team this year.
Charleston plays at a very fast pace as they are 11th in the country in lowest average time of possession so they can put up points in a hurry if they get hot. Another thing Charleston does well is rebound the basketball. College of Charleston is ranked 15th in the country in offensive rebounding percentage and will have a distinct height advantage in most matchups tonight so I expect them to hit the boards hard for second chance opportunities. Northeastern has also really struggled on offense this year as they are currently ranked 271st in adjusted offensive efficiency and 230th in 3-point percentage so they are not a very good shooting team. Charleston got off to a slow start in their first matchup with Northeastern and then steamrolled them 2H. I think they get off to a faster start today and go into halftime with a lead here. Score Prediction: 38-33 Charleston 1H
Arkansas is a team who has been coming on strong over the past few weeks. They got a huge home win vs number 1 ranked Auburn and then notched another very solid home win against a ranked Tennessee squad. Usually, I think this would be the spot to fade Arkansas on a let-down angle but the let-down angle actually falls on Florida here. Florida has been fairly disappointing this season, but they are coming off their best win of the season as they took down Auburn at home in a close game. Arkansas has the physicality and speed to neutralize Florida’s strengths. Florida is a team who wants to play physical and defend at a high level. Arkansas has been very solid on defense this season as they are currently ranked 12th in overall adjusted defensive efficiency, 56th in defensive effective field goal percentage, and 45th in defensive 2-point percentage. Florida’s best player is big man Colin Castleton and I think Jaylin Williams has the size and athleticism to neutralize him in this contest which should make it very hard for Florida to score. I think Arkansas will be able to escape with a close hard fought road win. Score Prediction: 71-63
UConn is a very solid team out of the Big East this season and this game tonight is probably the most important game on their schedule. Nova comes to town and UConn is in a perfect revenge spot. Villanova is a team who has made me a lot of money this year as they are one of the most consistent teams in the nation, but I think UConn has the perfect amount of toughness and experience to get the job done tonight. If there is one area that Villanova has struggled in this season, it is defensive rebounding. They are only ranked 127th in defensive rebounding percentage and UConn is 3rd in the nation in offensive rebounding percentage. I think UConn will be able to hit the glass hard for second chance opportunities and could get Nova into foul trouble. UConn will also have a size, height, and athleticism advantage at most positions tonight and think Nova might have trouble on the offensive end. This will probably be one of the best games of the night and I think UConn will come away with a solid home win. Score Prediction: 78-72 UConn.