BANKER (IPFW vs. Wisc. Green Bay)
IPFW is a team I have faded multiple times this season but here I think is a very good spot to back them. Green Bay is really bad on both sides of the ball as they are currently ranked 322nd in adjusted defensive efficiency, 270th in defensive effective field goal percentage and 306th in defensive 2-point percentage. On offense, they are ranked 335th in adjusted offensive efficiency, 324th in effective field goal percentage, and 353rd in 3-point percentage so they don’t really do anything well. In their last game against Milwaukee, they had a halftime lead and were playing solid basketball until they didn’t score for a 10-minute stretch in the 2H while giving up a 19-0 run where they would eventually lose the game and lose the cover.
IPFW is coming off one of the wilder games of the season in a triple OT win over Cleveland St and I think they will be able to carry that momentum into this game. IPFW is a solid offensive team who plays at a fast pace. They are currently ranked 77th in offensive effective field goal percentage, 78th in 2-point percentage, and 103rd in 3-point shooting as a team. They have also been playing extremely well lately as they have won 5 games in a row and are now 11-3 in their last 14 games. Bottom line for me here is that these are 2 teams going in completely different directions and I think IPFW just has too much offensive firepower for Green Bay to keep up. Green Bay has done well against teams who are lower scoring, but IPFW is the complete opposite. They want to play fast and are very skilled on offense and I think they will get off to a strong start in this game, so I am rolling with IPFW 1H -2.5 -110
Yale is a very solid team out of the Ivy league this season and I really like them to get a win here in a revenge spot vs a Penn team who is not very good on the road. Yale has played solid on defense this season as they are currently ranked 110th in adjusted defensive efficiency, 99th in defensive effective field goal percentage, and 54th in defensive 3-point percentage. Those are solid numbers for any team coming out of the Ivy league and I think Penn will struggle on offense here tonight. Yale has also been playing their best ball as of late as they are 6-0 in their last 6 conference games and have won 4 home conference games in a row as well. Penn has been playing well lately as well but the revenge spot is a narrative that I really like to attack in college basketball as I think these kids really do take an added edge into games vs opponents who beat them earlier in the season and for that reason, I think Yale will come out strong and get a win tonight.
Maryland has had a somewhat disappointing season in the Big 10 this year but none have had a more disappointing season than Nebraska. Nebraska has some good players on their team, but they just haven’t been able to put it together for a full 40 minutes as they only have one big 10 win on the season ang come into this game with an overall record of 7-18. Maryland could be without their leading scorer in Eric Ayala, which is something to monitor, but even without him I still think they will be able to get a win over this struggling Nebraska squad. This game reminds me a lot of when Northwestern was playing on the road at Nebraska. Had a similar line for that game as well and NW went there and beat them by 24. I am hoping for a similar result tonight from the Terrapins as I think they get another win.