BANKER (Delaware vs. Elon)
The colonial conference has been one of my favorite conferences to bet this season and Elon has been one of my favorite teams to fade. They simply are not a very good basketball team and really the only thing they do well on occasion, is shoot the 3. In this game, Elon takes on a very solid Delaware squad who has been much better on the road this season compared to being at home. In Delaware’s last 5 road conference games, they are 5-0 ATS in the first half and have played well in those games. Delaware has been a very solid offensive team this season as they are currently ranked 29th in the country in offensive effective field goal percentage and 20th in offensive 2-point percentage.
Elon has been very bad defensively this season and are won of the worst defensive teams in the conference. They are coming off a game where they nearly gave up 100 points to Hofstra and they don’t have the offensive firepower to keep up against opponents like Delaware. Elon has done well vs teams with anemic offenses who have struggled to score. I think they will have a tough time keeping up with Delaware’s high-powered offense. Elon also covered the first matchup between these 2 teams, and I think there will be a slight revenge factor here for Delaware as they did not play anywhere near their best game in the first matchup. Elon has been a bad 1H team, especially in conference play and for that reason I am rolling with Delaware 1H -1.5 -115 for one of my favorite plays tonight.
Towson has been one of my favorite teams to bet this season as they have been an ATS cash cow in basically any situation. They have been solid as favorites, underdogs, home or away and they get a matchup vs a UNCW squad who I believe is due for some regression. UNCW has been one of the surprises of the conference as they started out the year very poorly and then turned it on once conference play started and at one time were at the top of the league with an 8-0 record. They have gotten very lucky with some second half comebacks and been on the right side of some collapses, but I believe Towson is a much better team and should be able to get the job done tonight. UNCW also went into Towson and beat them as nearly 8-point underdogs, so I have to imagine there is some added motivation on the Towson sideline tonight. Score Prediction: 81-68 Towson
Iowa is a team who has been coming on strong lately thanks to their incredible offensive firepower. Iowa has one of the best players in the country in Keegan Murray who is a matchup nightmare at 6 foot 8. He can put the ball on the floor and get the rim and is an assassin in the mid-range. He reminds me a lot of a young DeMar DeRozan with how he plays and think he will be the difference tonight. Michigan has also notched some very impressive wins over the last few weeks and think they are due for some regression in a very tough road environment. This should be a very high scoring game because even though Iowa has a very good offense, their defense can be suspect, but I think being at home will give them the added edge required to come away with a much-needed victory. I see iowa winning a high scoring game and don’t mind the over here as well but rolling with Iowa ML for the second half of today’s parlay.