BANKER (Temple vs. South Florida)
Temple has been a team who has struggled on offense this year, but they have improved on that end which has added to their already very impressive defense. Temple is currently ranked 84th in overall adjusted efficiency, 22nd in effective field goal percentage defense, 26th in 3-point percentage defense, and 35th in 2-point percentage defense so they really defend all levels very well. In this matchup, they are going to face a South Florida team who is dreadful offensively. South Florida is dead last in the AAC in multiple offensive categories including adjusted offensive efficiency, effective field goal percentage, 3-point percentage, and free throw percentage. They are also the worst 3-point shooting team in the nation (358 of 358) at 24.2% and are ranked 2nd to last in effective field goal percentage so it’s safe to say scoring the ball is not their strong suit.
Temple has really been coming on as of late as they have won 6 of their last 7 games and have gone 3-1 on the road in those games as well. In those 4 road games, they have also gone 4-0 ATS in the 1H of those games so they have really started games fast and played well in the opening 20 minutes. On the other side, South Florida has really struggled in the first 20 minutes of games as they have gone 0-4 ATS in the first half of their last 4 games while trailing at the half by an average margin of 14 points so they have been getting blown out recently in the first half of their games. Bottom line for me here is that we have 2 teams trending in much different directions and Temple has an outside shot to finish close to the top in the AAC so I think they will be highly motivated here and don’t see any type of letdown after their strong recent play. Score Prediction: 31-24 1H Temple
FAMU has been a team I have bet on a lot recently and they are a hard-nosed team out of the SWAC who can beat you with toughness and defense. They don’t shoot the ball very well as they are one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the nation, but they make up for that with their hustle, toughness, and tenacity on the defensive end. In this game they face Prairie View AM who is usually a perennial SWAC contender but has taken a small step back this season. PVAM has struggled on offense as they rank 241st in effective field goal percentage, 246th in adjusted offensive efficiency, and 355th in offensive turnover percentage so they really struggle to take care of the ball. I think FAMU will be able to force PVAM into a lot of turnovers and turn those extra possessions into transition opportunities leading to easy buckets. Score Prediction: 71-65 FAMU
JMU has been a somewhat disappointing team out of the Colonial Conference this year, but I think this a very good revenge spot for them against a Drexel team who beat them earlier in the season. Drexel is a team who has excelled in the underdog role this year as they have covered almost every 1H in conference play as an underdog but have faded in the second half of games. They also won their last game at Delaware but one thing they have struggled with this season is putting back-to-back solid performances together as they haven’t won back-to-back games since early December. I think JMU will have some added motivation in this game and think this spread and ML are much too high as I feel like it should be closer to a Pk or -1. So, for the parlay today I am taking a chance with JMU ML. Score Prediction: 81-76 JMU