BANKER (Louisiana Tech vs. Florida Atlantic)
Louisiana Tech is a very solid team out of conference USA who is currently second in the standings with a 6-2 record and a 16-5 overall record. They have also been playing well lately as they have gone &-2 in their last 10 games but lost their last outing against North Texas. One thing Louisiana tech has done very well this season is bounce back from a loss as they haven’t lost back-to-back games all year and have led by an average of over 12 points at halftimes in those games as well, so they usually start fast and hold onto that early lead for the win.
LTU has been getting it done with their offense this year as they are ranked 72nd in I era lol adjusted offensive efficiency. 64th in effective field goal percentage, and 45th in 2-point percentage so they are a very solid offensive team. They are also ranked 53rd in lowest turnover percentage so they really take care of the ball and get a good shot most times down the floor. They face an FAU team who has struggled a bit in defense this year as they rank 197th overall in defensive efficiency, 215thin defensive effective field goal percentage, and 339th in defensive 3-point percentage so they do not defend the 3 ball well which could be a big problem tonight.
Louisiana tech has also been fairly solid on defense this season as they rank 108th in defensive efficiency, 67th in defensive effective field goal percentage, and 39th in defensive 2-point percentage. Bottom line for me here is that Louisiana tech is the much more talented team who has performed very well after a loss this season. I think Louisiana tech will be able to run their offense and score at a high clip and get just enough stops to come away with a win. Score Prediction: 78-72 Louisiana Tech
Oakland is one of the best teams out of the horizon conference this year and should be one of the favorites to win their conference tournament. In this matchup, they’ll face a northern Kentucky team who is very offensively challenged as has trouble scoring the ball. Northern Kentucky is ranked just 251st in overall adjusted offensive efficiency, 295th in effective field goal percentage, 221st in 3-point percentage, and 328th in 2-point percentage so they really struggled to score the ball at all levels of the court.
On the other side, Oakland’s defense has performed quite well this year as they are ranked 1st in the horizon league is steal rate, lowest foul rate, and defensive 3-point field goal percentage. They are also 2nd in the conference in overall adjusted defensive efficiency. Both teams have solid defenses, but Oakland’s offense will be the difference in this game. Oakland is not nearly as offensively challenged as NKU, and Oakland has been playing extremely well as of late so I’m rolling with them to grab a big-time conference road win here. Score Prediction: 74-67 Oakland
Let me start off by saying Western Michigan is not a good team but this is more so the absolute perfect spot to fade Central Michigan and we’re getting a solid price on WMU so I’m taking the shot here. Central Michigan is almost just as bad as WMU and they’re coming off one of their best performances of the season in a home win over bowling green where they were nearly double-digit underdogs. I think we are going to see regression from Central Michigan here and don’t think they should ever be favorites in any circumstance. This will be a very ugly game from a style standpoint as both times commit a lot of turnovers but from a narrative standpoint, I think this is the perfect spot to fade Central Michigan and ride WMU as underdogs in this MAC contest. Score Prediction: 78-71 WMU