BANKER (St. Peters vs. Marist)
Marist is a middle of the pack to bottom team in the MAAC facing St Peters who is currently second in the conference with a 5-2 record so why is Marist the favorite here? The answer is that Marist is one of the best teams in the country in bouncing back after a loss. Marist has 9 losses on the season and lost their last game against Fairfield. After their previous 8 losses, they have bounced back going 7-1 ATS in those games and 8-0 ATS In the 1H of those games.
Marist has been fairly solid defensively this season as well as they rank 60th in the country in effective field goal percentage defense, 66th in 3-point percentage defense, and 75th in 2-point percentage defense so they are an above average defensive team. This will greatly help them as St. Peter’s is a bottom 50 team in almost every offensive category this season. They have really struggled on the offensive end as they rank 312th in overall adjusted offensive efficiency, 341st in effective field goal percentage, 344th in 2-point percentage offense, and 299th in 3-point shooting so they struggle to score in all capacities.
They also rank last in their conference in some of these categories as well. They are also last in the MAAC in defensive foul rate and offensive rebounding percentage, so they allow a ton of 2ndchance opportunities and foul at a very high rate as well. Marist is number one in the MAAC in offensive effective field goal percentage, and I think they’ll see an even bigger jump being back at home and motivated off a loss. On the other side they are also 2nd in the conference in effective field goal percentage defense so they have played exceptionally well in condense play and think they’ll get a much-needed win here over an offensively challenged St. Peter’s squad. Score Prediction: 71-62 Marist
Rolling with an all A-10 parlay tonight. St Bonaventure is a team with a ton of experience and talent but they lack depth so they can struggle at times when a few guys are off or when they get into foul trouble. St Bonaventure is number 1 in the A-10 in offensive rebounding percentage and number 4 in adjusted offensive efficiency. They have been struggling on offense a bit lately, but I think this is a very good spot for them to get a win. George Mason is coming off a very impressive home win vs Dayton and a come from behind win against St Joes in a game they failed to cover. I think this is a game where George Mason may come out hot in the 1H and take a lead into halftime but St Bonaventure as talent and experience will take over in the 2H and lead them to a win.
Umass is a hot and cold team out of the A-10 who has struggled mightily on defense but is a very solid offensive team. They are ranked 3rd in the nation in 3-point shooting as a team and number 1 in the A-10 in 3-point shooting and free throw percentage so they can really shoot it. They face a La Salle team who struggles to defend the 3 as they are 10th in the conference in defensive 3-point percentage and 204th nationally in that same category.
La salle also really struggles on offense as they are ranked 274th nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency, 282nd in effective field goal percentage, and 281st in offensive 2-point percentage so they are not a very good offensive team. This plays into Umass’s strength because they can continue to push the tempo and chuck up shots hoping to get hot and not have to worry about an explosive offense going on runs against them as La salle just isn’t that type of team. La Salle is dead last in the A-10 in offensive effective field goal percentage, and I think that will be their downfall tonight as you need to be able to score and score a lot to beat Umass. Score Prediction: 88-81 Umass