BANKER (Kansas vs. Oklahoma)
A tad surprised this line is so low given how well Kansas has played this season but it’s a road conference game against a solid team, so I see why it’s this low. I do think it’s very short though so I’m rolling with Kansas -3 here. Kansas has played very well this season both out of conference and now into big 12 play. They only have 2 losses on the season, one in a surprise loss to Dayton at the buzzer and another in their recent road loss to Texas Tech. Kansas has played a tough schedule as they are ranked 30th nationally in strength of schedule and have still performed very well. Kansas has gotten it done with their high-powered offense this season as they rank 5th nationally in overall offensive adjusted efficiency, 9th in offensive effective field goal percentage, and 7th in 2-point field goal percentage.
In this game, they’ll face a solid defensive team in Oklahoma as they rank 27th in adjusted defensive efficiency but of their lower defensive metrics is defending 2-point field goals as they are only 109tht in that defensive category. I think Kansas will dominate the paint in this matchup with McCormack, Wilson and Agbaji as these 3 guys make their living on layups and slashes to the rim. While Oklahoma is a good defensive team, they have really struggled on offense the entire season.
They lost a lot of offensive production from years past as Austin reaves graduated, Alondes Williams transferred to WF, and Kur Kuath transferred to Marquette. In their last 2 games they only tallied 52 points in a loss to Texas and 58 points in an overtime loss to TCU. They really struggle with taking care of the ball as they rank 318th in the country in offensive turnover rate. Overall, I think the Kansas offense will be too much for Oklahoma to keep up with in what should be a very entertaining big 12 matchup. Score Prediction: 72-64 Kansas
Wisconsin has really impressed this year with a 14-2 record, and it is largely due to the fact that they now have a number 1 scorer and primary option with Johnny Davis. Davis is in the running for national player of the year as he is averaging 22/8/3 on 44% shooting and 33% from deep. Davis is their go to guy who can create offense when there is nothing available which is a skill that Wisconsin has lacked in years past that probably cost them a few games due to their anemic offense at times. Wisconsin is also number 1 in the nation is lowest turnover rate on offense, so they really take care of the ball and usually find a good shot. They have played the 5th hardest schedule in the nation and have come out on top so far and I think that will aid them in this road condense game against northwestern. NW is also coming off a huge road win vs Michigan State, so I feel this is the perfect let down spot for them as well. Score Prediction: 81-68 Wisconsin.
Miami FL is a team who has been up and down, but they are hitting their stride at the right time. They come into this game with a 13-4 record and have won 9 of their last 10 including wins on the road vs Duke, Penn state, North Texas, and impressive home wins vs Syracuse, Wake Forest, and NC state. Miami has defended their home court well going 8-1 at home and have not lost at home since early November. Miami has a high-powered offense that I think will keep them in this game as they rank 21st in overall offensive adjusted efficiency and 7th in lowest offensive TO%. Miami should take good care of the ball and I think they will be able to knock down enough outside shots to take down UNC in a small upset at home. Score Prediction: 79-74 Miami.