BANKER (South Dakota St. vs Missouri State)
Missouri state is an interring team with a lot of star power. They are off to a 6-4 start which is definitely below their standards and expectations they had for the season. Missouri state is a very solid offensive team as they are 42nd in adjusted offensive efficiency, 40th in effective field goal percentage, and 49th in 2-point field goal percentage.
They are led in offense by stars, Isiaih Mosley (17/5/1 46%\38% from deep) and forward Gaige Prim (17/9/2 61%\40% from deep). These 2 are all Mercian caliber players and might even be in the NBA someday and I think Prim will be the best player on the court in this matchup. They face South Dakota state, who always has one of the best and most efficient offenses in the country so expect this to be a high scoring game.
From a scheduling standpoint I think Missouri state is catching South Dakota state at the perfect time. South Dakota state is coming off a huge upset win on the road against Washington state where they won on a crazy buzzer beater. Now they have to turn right back around and keep that same energy on the road again against a very capable offensive team in Missouri state. I think Missouri state has the offense to hang with the jackrabbits here and their home court advantage should lead to better shooting as well.
South Dakota state is a very solid team, but their defense is their weakest link. I think Missouri state will be able to exploit this and should be able to score at will with the inside out game of Prim and Mosley. I also really like the over in this game as well as it should be a very high scoring affair so wouldn’t mind sprinkling a Missouri state ML and OVER parlay as well. Score Prediction: Missouri State 91-82
Bellarmine is a relatively new team who just moved up to division 1 last year and has been playing very tough schedules as well. They’ve already played Purdue, Gonzaga, West Virginia, St Mary’s, UCLA, and Murray state. They covered ATS in 2 of those games including against UCLA and St Mary’s but this is a team who has challenged themselves early and k believe this will help them in this matchup and going forward. Bellarmine is a very experienced team who can get it done on the offensive end.
They are 38th in the nation in 2-point FG% and just outside of the top 100 in adjusted offensive efficiency. Also, in their one game as a favorite this year against Central Michigan, they performed well as they won and covered. I think Bellarmine might close as another favorite here and think they’ll be able to take care of a fairly weak South Dakota team who is nothing special. Score prediction: 76-69 Bellarmine
Belmont is always one of the top mid majors in the country and they look as good as ever this year as well. They are off to an 8-3 start with their losses coming to an undefeated LSU, and resurgent mid majors in Ohio and Dayton. Belmont is a team who always runs solid and efficient offense coupled with outside shooting for days. This season Belmont is 37th in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency, 37th in effective FG%, and 15th in 2-point FG% so they are actually getting it done in the paint even more than usual this year.
Belmont is a team who has struggled with very athletic teams and that has always been the knock on them, that they simply lack athleticism. But now they get a favorable matchup against a relatively slow paced and methodical Chattanooga team. Chattanooga likes to play slow, and I think Belmont will be able to speed them up and force them into mistakes. Don’t think Chattanooga and their anemic offense will be able to keep up in this one. Score prediction: 74-66 Belmont.