Colorado state comes into this matchup off of a big-time double-digit win vs Creighton where their offense excelled scoring 95 points. This was their first true test of the season as the line coming into the game was -2.5/3 and they were up to the challenge. Colorado state is defined by their offensive firepower. They are currently 7th in the country in FG% (53.6%), 6th in 3P percentage (45.6%), and 9th in points per game as just under 90 PPG.
They also only average 10.4 TO per game (38th) so they take very good care of the ball while maintaining an up tempo and high-octane pace. They are led by junior PF David Roddy (24/8/2) and PG Isaiah Stevens (15/7/4). These two have led the Rams to a hot start and they get a favorable matchup here against a Northeastern team that really struggles to score. Northeastern is in the bottom tier in the country in PPG only averaging 60.2 (336th).
They are also nearly in the bottom 300 in rebounding (298th) and 299th in turnovers per game at 16.0 per game (299th). Northeastern lost their best player who averaged 19 PPG last year as he transferred to Michigan State, and they have really struggled to score in the early part of this season. They have been playing better as of late winning 3 games in a row, but they struggled mightily in a 19-point loss to Georgia state.
Colorado state plays a very similar style of basketball to Georgia state in that they are both very physical and play a more up-tempo style. Bottom line for me in this matchup is that I don’t think that Northeastern has enough firepower to keep this game close and that the Colorado state offensive attack should pace this game. As long as Colorado state takes care of the ball and stays out of foul trouble, I see them winning this game by double digits. Final score prediction: CSU WINS 82-68
BANKER: Colorado State -7 -115 (1.87) (Vs Northeastern)
George Mason has been a very pleasant surprise early this season as they started 4-0 with double digit wins over stony brook, Penn, Morgan state and an impressive road victory over a ranked Maryland squad. They dropped their next game on the road at JMU however which was an unfavorable let down spot.
In this game against Washington, I think they have a clear advantage at every position. Transfer D’Shawn Schwartz has really added shooting to their lineup that they desperately needed. He is shooting 47% from 3 this year and averaging over 15 PPG. On the inside they are led by Josh Oduro (16/5/2) and Tennessee transfer Davonte Gaines (13/9/3). These 2 are a handful inside and think that the combination of guard play on the outside from Schwartz and Cooper along with the physicality of Oduro/Gaines on the inside will just be too much for Washington to overcome.
Arkansas faces Kansas state in an interesting matchup tonight. Kansas state has been bottom dwellers of the big 12 the past few seasons and looks like they are headed in that same route this year again as well. Arkansas has become Transfer U over the last few years. This year they are led by JD Notae (22/4/4), Miami transfer Chris Lykes (16 PPG) and Pitt transfer Au’Dies Toney (11/7/2).
They also have rim protection on the inside with 7’3 Connor Vanover who is averaging 2 blocks per game already in this young season. Overall, I think Arkansas has more talent at every position 1-5 and think this talent differential will be too much for Kansas state to overcome. Arkansas wants to play at a fast and frenetic pace and that is not what Kansas state does well.
For Kansas state to have a chance they would need to slow the game down, limit transition opportunities and hope Arkansas has an off-shooting night hit I don’t see any of those happening as Arkansas is typically the team that controls the game with their pace. MLP: George Mason + Arkansas at +102 odds.
Parlay: George Mason/Arkansas Money Line Parlay at +102 (2.02)