A new week means a new opportunity to cash bankers and 2 team parlays. Looking at today’s card, who is the right choice to make winning NBA picks?
Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder
The Hawks were undervalued by metrics after a brutal road trip to start the season lowered their statistical outputs. The Hawks have come back home where they are a much better team. The Hawks proceeded to be the elite team that made the Eastern Conference Finals last season. The Hawks have one their four games at home, all by 10 points or more.
This team plays so much better in Atlanta, and it shows. Games like this will be crucial because as this recent stretch has displayed, the Hawks would greatly like to have home court advantage for as many possible playoff matchups as possible.
The Thunder are the NBA team that is currently “tanking” the hardest. OKC has shipped off every talented player on the roster for future draft picks and they hold a cache of picks going forward. While this bodes well for their future, this season will probably continue to be rough as many of the players starting are fringe rotational players or players that are still developing and would not get minutes on other teams.
The Thunder are playing their third game in four nights, coming off two road losses to the Milwaukee Bucks and Boston Celtics. The Thunder are led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who is on the injury report with an ankle and is listed as a game-time decision.
I believe the Hawks cover this number regardless of whether or not Alexander plays, but if Alexander sits it will be an extra boon to this bet; a late bonus so to speak. I like the Atlanta Hawks to get things done tonight. I don’t lay double digit talk too often, but in this case the value is too good to pass up. Tonight’s Banker is the Atlanta Hawks – 11.5.
Banker: Atlanta Hawks -11 at -110 (1.91)
Sacramento Kings vs Philadelphia 76ers
Last week we took advantage of the “Superstar Subtraction” theory. While I’m sure I wasn’t the first one to think of this idea, I do credit myself for bringing it to the forefront and giving it a cool name for gambling Twitter. Today we will attack another one of those situational edges with the “New Coach Bump”.
This idea is simple. Upon the firing of a new coach the players know the rotations will be shaking up and minutes are up for grab. Everyone will be excited about the feeling of newness around the team. They will be eager to carve out their new roles and gain minutes in the new rotations. We get another “New Coach Bump” tonight as the Kings, following a fan symbolically puking all over their court, fired Luke Walton in favor of steady veteran Alvin Gentry. While I doubt Gentry is the long-term solution for the Sacramento Kings, the “New Coach Bump” will be and play and I expect them to get the cover tonight. We will bet the Bump! Lay the points with the Sacramento Kings to get it done against Philadelphia
Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers
The Chicago Bulls of the talk of the NBA after jumping out to a 12-5 start. The Bulls are on a two-game win streak, most winning the most recently winning by six points against the New York Knicks. The Bulls are on their second game back home after they did quite well on a West Coast road trip. The combination of Zach LaVine and DeMar DeRozan have been too much for overcoming defenses to stop. I like the Bulls here to continue getting it done.
The Pacers are struggling under new Coach Rick Carlisle and have players in and out of the lineup. Tonight, they look to be fairly healthy, however. This is why this line by the books is closer than where I have my line created. I do not trust the continuity of the Indiana Pacers and I did not give them the same bump for full health because I do not believe that they are yet accustomed to playing with each other. They do not have the pecking order of the offense established. The second half of the two-team parlay at the Chicago Bulls.
2-team parlay Sacramento Kings -2.5/Chicago Bulls -3 at +265 (3.65)