By The Prophet
Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans
This week’s Banker will feature a matchup of two top 10 teams in College Football when Michigan State
(+4.5) plays host to longtime rival The University of Michigan. This will be the 113th meeting between
the two schools with the overall edge going to Michigan, who leads the series 71-37.
There have also been 5 draws. My Banker for this week may raise a few eyebrows considering the
defensive resumes of the respective teams in this matchup. While Michigan boasts the number 2 ranked
scoring defense in the nation and Michigan State sits at number 20, I’ll be playing the over 50 for the full
My primary reason for this is simple; neither defense will have faced off against an offense as good as
the unit(s) in which they are about to compete against on Saturday. Three of Michigan State’s FBS
opponents this season aren’t even in the 100 in PPG offensively; two didn’t crack the top 50. Only one
opponent is a Top 25 offensive unit, Western Kentucky, who is 11th in the country in PPG. Michigan
State allowed 31 points to the Hilltoppers.
Meanwhile FOUR of Michigan’s opponents failed to break the top 100 in scoring offense and the other
three still haven’t been effective enough to even sniff the top 50. Offensively, Michigan ranks 15th at (37
PPG) and MSU is right behind them, ranking 29th (34.4 PPG).
I would expect a bit of a feeling out process early on in this one but once these teams get it going, we
should see fireworks. Each offense has been explosive this season and neither defense has seen
anything like what they’re about to face on Saturday. Looking for some points in this one, let’s cash
Banker: Michigan/Michigan State Over 50 at -110 (1.91)
For the first leg of this week’s Two Team NCAAF parlay, I’m going to be taking Tulsa to win at home
versus Navy, taking Tulsa ML (-420). There are several reasons I feel good about Tulsa in this spot!
Firstly, Tulsa’s defense will be prepared for the Navy triple option offense. This is a Tulsa defense that
went on the road to Annapolis last season and held Navy’s offense to 7 points!
Tulsa did lose a few key defensive players last season, notably their former All-American and current
Arizona Cardinal linebacker Zaven Collins. Collins no doubt left some big shoes to fill & they have
struggled at times allowing points to opposing offenses, but their big struggles have come through the
air this season which is not a strength of this Navy squad.
This Tulsa defensive unit still ranks in the top 30 in run defense & has had a knack for stopping the triple
option under current head coach Phillip Montgomery. Navy is also coming off the best performance of
their season, falling in a close game 27-20 to #2 and likely College Football Playoff participant Cinicnati.
I believe we are potentially getting a short price on Tulsa at home as a result of that Navy performance. I
look for Tulsa to stifle this Navy rushing attack and force many 3rd-and-longs, which will not be a
comfortable situation for the Midshipman. Final Score prediction Tulsa 30 Navy 13.
For my second leg I’ll be heading to the northeast in the ACC, I’m taking Syracuse ML (-225) who will
play host to Boston College. This Syracuse (4-4) team, while only .500 on the season, might be the best
of Dino Babers’ tenure while coaching for the Orange.
Syracuse has a scrappy defense that seems to turn up the intensity when playing at home, in the
Syracuse Orange dome (one of the loudest and rowdiest venues in college football). Syracuse, who is
coming off a massive road victory 41-36 at Virginia Tech, has excelled offensively since making a change
at QB from longtime starter Tommy Devito to Garrett Shrader.
Shrader has 7 TD’s and 3 INTs on the year and is the team’s second leading rusher with 592 yards,
averaging a fantastic 5.7 yards per carry. On the other hand, Boston College has struggled immensely
since losing former starting QB Phil Jurkovec for the season. New starter Dennis Grosel has not been
efficient with his INTs outweighing his TDs by 7-6.
Boston College has been a team that has needed to establish the run to have success in games this
season, which is even truer now with the loss of their starting QB. I see Syracuse playing with confidence
on both sides of the ball after last week’s big win and the rowdy environment in the Orange Dome
ultimately being too much for a banged up and one-dimensional BC offense. Final Score prediction
Syracuse 31 BC 21.
Parlay at -132 (1.76): Tulsa ML + Syracuse ML